Million Bpd of Crude in Alberta Under Extreme Wildfire Threat – Rystad Energy
 Norwegian energy consultancy Rystad Energy has warned that nearly 2.7 million barrels per day of Alberta oil sands production is in”very high” or “extreme” wildfire danger rating zones in the month of May.
Rystad estimates that 60% of May production volumes are currently subject to extreme wildfire danger levels, with the rest exposed to very high danger levels.
“As of the afternoon of May 16, high-confidence outage volumes based on operator communication stand at about 240,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), although in reality, the impact is likely in excess of 300,000 boepd if not higher,” Rystad has said.
The Canadian energy sector is reeling after the shutting in of at least 145,000 of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the oil-rich province of Alberta due to wildfires more than a week ago.
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The unprecedented fires have forced tens of thousands of Albertans to evacuate their homes.
More than half a dozen Canadian oil and gas companies including Paramount Resources (OTCPK:PRMRF), Crescent Point Energy Corp. (NYSE:CPG), Vermilion Energy Inc. (NYSE:VET), Pipestone Energy Corp. (OTCPK:BKBEF), Kiwetinohk Energy Corp. (TSX:KEC:CA),Tourmaline Oil Corp. (OTCPK:TRMLF) and Cenovus Energy Inc. (NYSE:CVE) have been impacted by the nearly 80 fires currently running amok in the province.
While declaring a state of emergency on Saturday, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith described the situation as “unprecedented”.
Alberta “has been experiencing a hot, dry spring and with so much kindling, all it takes is a few sparks to ignite some truly frightening wildfires,” Smith said.
Climate change is making it costlier for oil and gas companies to operate.
Alberta’s wildfires are the latest in a series of climate-related supply threats already impacting on the oil and gas industry, with more than 600 billion barrels equivalent of the world’s commercially recoverable oil and gas reserves, or 40% of total reserves, facing high or extreme risks.
According to UK-based global risk and strategic consulting firm Verisk Maplecroft, the risk of climate-related events disrupting the flow of oil to global markets is highest in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Nigeria.
